Friday, 2 February 2018

Sensex, Nifty take a hit post Budget 2018. 5 reasons weighing on sentiment | Trade Nivesh Investment

A day after Finance Minister Arun Jaitley presented the Union Budget 2018, equity markets in India took a beating on the back of several announcements made in his speech.
The Sensex lost over 300 points intraday in the opening minutes of trade, while the Nifty lost almost 100 points and traded near 10,900 levels.
Midcaps have continued to crack, while financials, pharma and metals are trading weak as well.
The move surprised D-Street as most analysts were factoring in a change in definition of ‘Long Term’ to 2 or 3 years from 1 year. An imposition of additional tax over and above this time-frame issue spooked investors.
The government introduced the much talked about long term capital gains tax (LTCG) on sale of listed securities on gains of over Rs1 lakh.
Jaitley, introduced a long-term capital gains tax of 10 percent if the gains exceed Rs 100,000 without allowing the benefit of indexation. However, all gains till January 31, 2018 will be grandfathered and short term capital gains remains unchanged at 15 percent.
Fiscal slippage
The market is also worried about the fiscal slippage issue, largely because of the degree of deviation as well.
The government revised the fiscal deficit target to 3.5 percent of GDP to for 2017-18, indicating a deviation from the path of fiscal consolidation because of a spillover impact of the new indirect tax system—Goods and Services Tax.
For the next financial year 2018-19, fiscal deficit target is pegged at 3.3 percent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP).
“Revised fiscal deficit estimates for 2017-18 are Rs 5.95 lakh crore at 3.5 percent of GDP. I am projecting a fiscal deficit of 3.3 percent of GDP for the year 2018-19,” Jaitley said while presenting Union Budget, 2018.
Tax on income from equity mutual funds
In times when flows from mutual funds were one of the highest, the imposition of a fresh tax on income from them could have spooked investors too.
Investors will have to pay 10 per cent tax on distributed income from equity oriented mutual funds, as per the Budget proposals announced.
Besides, the overall investor sentiment will be hit with the introduction of 10 per cent tax on long term capital gains exceeding Rs 1 lakh, as mutual funds have recently emerged as a key route to invest in stock markets, experts said.
Global markets
The Nifty futures on Singaporean exchange (SGX Nifty) was trading were trading over a 100 points lower, hinting at the selloff that is visible in Indian market as well.
Meanwhile, other global indices are trading weak too, probably why the market is showing weakness here as well.
Asian shares came under pressure after Wall Street closed mixed and yields on US government debt rose in the last session.
Japan's Nikkei 225 declined 1.3 percent after snapping a six-day losing streak in the previous session. Technology names were mostly lower, with heavyweight SoftBank falling 1.5 percent.
The US equities pulled back as investors worried about rising interest rates.
The S&P 500 declined 0.1 percent to close at 2,821.98 after rising as much as 0.4 percent. The Nasdaq composite fell 0.4 percent to 7,385.86. Earlier, the tech heavy index traded 0.4 percent higher as Facebook shares hit an all-time high. Facebook reported better-than-expected earnings and revenue on Wednesday.

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